Why am I not watching UFC 186, in spite of being a fan of "Mighty Mouse" and "The Count"?
Because I don't pay for squash matches. That's why.
Demetrious Johnson's opponent, Kyochi Horiguchi, barely beat Louis Gaudinot in his last match, which was so terrible that I wrote "Who cares?" in my UFC notes regarding who won Round 3 and stopped paying attention. I honestly believe he got this title shot because he is the only flyweight "Mighty Mouse" hasn't schooled yet. On top of that, Michael Bisping is fighting C.B. Dolloway, whose best accomplishment so far has been that he was hand-picked by the UFC to be part of Lyoto Machida's KO highlight reel. The only way I would consider going out to watch this PPV is if Davis vs. Kaufman was moved to the main event and that certainly isn't happening. So I'll just watch that particular fight on the prelims at home and save my money.
At any rate, here are my predictions for the fight card I'm watching instead: UFC on Fox 15. It not only has much better matches: it's also FREE!
Herrig vs. VanZant: I'll be rooting for "12 gauge" here, but the fact is that she simply doesn't have enough experience to beat someone like "Lil' Bulldog" just yet. I believe Herrig will sub her in Round 3.
Swanson vs. Holloway: Swanson has had a lot more experience and success against the upper crust of the featherweight division than Holloway has, so I think he will batter Holloway from pillar-to-post for three rounds en route to a lopsided decision victory.
Souza vs. Camozzi: First, I found out Yoel Romero got injured and had to bow out, which was a major disappointment. Then I found out that the best replacement they could find was Chris Camozzi, whom Jacare has already subbed within one round, and I was even more disappointed. Since Camozzi is on a four-fight skid, I don't see this ending any differently: another Round 1 sub and easy payday for Souza.
Rockhold vs. Machida: Since my first black belt was in karate, I would love to see Machida win another UFC championship. That being said, he and Rockhold (who has crushed Costas Philippou, Tim Boetsch, and Michael Bisping) are both evenly matched and Rockhold is 6 years younger. I believe that Father Time will catch up to Machida in this fight and that he will drop a unanimous decision to the former Strikeforce middleweight champion, who will go on to challenge the winner of Weidman vs. Belfort.